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Published On: Sun, Jun 14th, 2020

India to witness C-19 peak in mid-November: ICMR study

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New Delhi: Union Home Minister Amit Shah with Health Minister Harsh Vardhan (2nd R) and senior officers holds a meeting to discuss the COVID-19 situation in Delhi, at North Block in New Delhi, Sunday, June 14, 2020. The meeting comes in the wake of increasing number of coronavirus cases in Delhi, where the tally has reached nearly 39,000 cases and the death toll rose to over 1,200. (PTI Photo/ Shahbaz Khan) (PTI14-06-2020_000037B)


NEW DELHI : The peak stage of C-19 in India has been delayed by the eight-week lock down and has strengthened public health measures, and it may now arrive around mid-November when a paucity of isolation and ICU beds and ventilators can arise, a study says.
The study, conducted by researchers from an operations research group constituted by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), said the lockdown shifted the peak by an estimated 34 days to 76 days and helped bring down the number of infections by between 69% and 97%, allowing time to shore up resources and health infrastructure.
Delhi reported 2224 fresh positive cases and 56 deaths on Sunday, taking the total figures to 41,182 and 1327 respectively. This is the highest single day jump in number of cases. 878 patients were discharged today, taking the total to 15,823.
The Delhi government said that the meeting between Central government and Delhi government today was very productive. “All issues related to Delhi’s fight against Covid-19 were discussed in detail and key decisions were jointly taken.Central Govt and Delhi Govt agreed on an immediate action plan to increase capacity of beds, increase testing and other important initiatives,” the government said in a statement.
An MHA spokesperson tweeted that in compliance with the orders of Home Minister Amit Shah, the Union Health Ministry has directed that “bodies of suspected #COVID19 cases in Delhi be handed over to relatives immediately without waiting for laboratory confirmation; bodies to be treated with precaution as per Health Ministry guidelines.”
Meanwhile, Union home minister Amit Shah will hold all all-party meeting tomorrow to review the management for coronavirus in the National Capital Region, which includes Delhi and parts of Uttar Pradesh and parts of Haryana.
The meeting, an official note said, will be held at 11 am in the North Block. The parties invited include Delhi’s ruling Aam Aadmi Party, the Congress, BJP, Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party and Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party. The meeting follows the strictures of the Supreme Court on Maharashtra, Delhi and Tamil Nadu states with the highest incidence of corona virus.
After having two rounds of meeting with Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal and Delhi LG Anil Baijal, Home Minister Amit Shah has called an all-party meeting on Monday to review the management of COVID-19 situation in Delhi.
Today, Union Home Minister Amit Shah chaired two meetings along with Health Minister Dr Harsh Vardhan in which Delhi Lieutenant Governor Anil Baijal and Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal were present. Later, Shah said that a comprehensive health survey of every person would be conducted in the containment zones of the national capital to check the spread of corona virus.
“Testing for the infection will be doubled in the next two days in the capital and tripled in six days,” he added. The Union Minister also said that a committee would be set up for 60 per cent beds in private hospitals at a lower rate for corona virus patients.
This morning, Mr Shah announced a series of measures for Delhi after a meeting with Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal. Union health minister Dr Harsh Vardhan and officials of the State Disaster Management Committee (SDMC) were also present at the meet.

The measures included the immediate provision of 500 train carriages, to boost the number of available beds for corona virus patients, and testing facilities to up the numbers which had slid last week.
(With Agency Inputs ).




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