Narendra Modi likely to get second term as PM,SP-BSP alliance gains in UP
NEW DELHI : Narendra Modi is returning to power with a bang, silencing skeptics and stunning opponents, with the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) likely to win 336 seats in Lok Sabha elections 2019, according to a comprehensive News18-IPSOSexit poll.
If the survey is anything to go by, the BJP will alone cross the half-way mark, like 2014 polls. ABP News-AC Nielsen predicts clean sweep for Mahagathbandhan. Heavy losses for BJP+, likely to win 22 seats in Uttar Pradesh.
Exit polls in India have not always had the best track record. In many elections, only one of the many pollsters has gotten it right – and the problem is that it’s usually a different pollster each time.
That’s when sampling error and so on can creep in and make a significant difference when multiplied across seats and states. Can we really argue that this is the case with the 2019 exit polls?
Today’s Chanakya has revealed final exit polls 2019 results and predicting BJP as majority winner. In most of the states like Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Gujrat, Uttarakhand BJP will win in majority. NDA has secured clear majority in Today’s Chanakya exit poll for 2019 lok sabha election results.
Another such location is West Bengal – even the Axis poll, which gave the BJP half the seats in India’s third-biggest electoral prize, predicted an almost equal vote share for the BJP and Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress.If the 2014 performance is replicated in UP and the BJP also wins more than a dozen in Bengal, its plans to better its 2014 numbers might be fulfilled. In that case, Amit Shah would once again have achieved the impossible. The BJP is expected to win more than a dozen of West Bengal’s 42 seats, according to the poll of polls
The second-biggest state Maharashtra, in almost all the polls, shows an easy BJP win. The chances are that this will be replicated on 23 May. If so, this is the biggest disaster for the Congress – a state where they should have put up a strong fight going completely to the incumbent. Maharashtra had rural distress, one of the major planks of the Congress campaign.
It has an uneasy alliance between the BJP and the Shiv Sena. And finally, unlike many other parts of the north, west and centre of India, it still has a relatively solid Congress grassroots organisation. If the polls turn out to be right on the 23rd with respect to Maharashtra, it is about this state that the Congress will have to do the most soul-searching.
Opinion polls are unanimous, however, about one thing – the Left pole of India’s politics has vanished. They will almost certainly be down to single digits, perhaps less than a tenth of what they won 15 years ago in the 2004 general election. The rise of the BJP in Bengal and Tripura, the loss of all Left bastions outside Kerala, and its weakness even in Kerala means that the Left can no longer claim to be a force in national politics.
Another likely big loser is the Aam Aadmi Party which may win at best one or two seats if the polls are correct. I will not waste any words on this party, other than to say it is a justified victim of its own ridiculous ambition and egotism.
Modi wins because a plurality in this country believe he represents it better than any other politician in living memory. That’s why he won in 2014, and that may be why he wins in 2019.(With Agency Inputs ).
