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Published On: Fri, Dec 7th, 2018

Exit Polls: TRS in Telangana, Cong in Raj; close race in MP, Chhattisgarh

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MPNEW DELHI : on Friday predicted a tight finish between the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Congress in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh and a win for the Opposition party in Rajasthan. They also predicted that K Chandrashekar Rao’s ruling Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) in Telangana will retain power.TV exit polls were predicting the five-state elections, results of which may be a preview of next year’s Lok Sabha polls and are seen by some as a test of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity.
Results of the elections in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Mizoram will be declared on Tuesday, December 11.
Madhya Pradesh and Mizoram voted on November 28; Rajasthan and Telangana on December 7, and Chhattisgarh went to the polls in two phases on November 12 and 20..
Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan are traditional BJP strongholds with large agrarian electorates. Telangana, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan are among India’s top 10 states on the World Bank’s ease of doing business ranking. In all, they represent one-sixth of the country’s voters, reported Bloomberg News.
The exit polls largely see-saw between the two main parties. While four of eight exit polls gave the BJP an edge, it is clear that after 15 straight years, the party and its Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan may struggle in Madhya Pradesh, one of its strongest states. The poll of exit polls indicates that the BJP will win 110 of the 230 seats in Madhya Pradesh and the Congress will get 108. The half-way mark in the state is 116.
The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) of Mayawati, who refused to tie-up with the Congress after months of seat-sharing talks, has been given two seats by the polls.The BJP, facing anti-incumbency after its long rule, is banking on a divided Congress saving it in Madhya Pradesh.

The ruling party is confronting farmer protests and the anger of traders and businessmen. Of the 15 years of BJP rule, Mr Chouhan has been in power for 13 years. In 2013, the BJP won 165 seats and the Congress 58. The BSP won four seats. The state recorded a turnout of over 74 per cent when voting took place on November 28; the turnout is seen by the Congress as a sign of change.

After the Madhya Pradesh election, there were allegations of EVM tampering by the opposition Congress as the security cameras stopped working for over an hour at a strongroom in which the EVMs or Electronic Voting Machines were kept.
Admitting that there was a power cut that led to cameras blacking out, the Election Commission ruled out any tampering. For the latest News & Live Updates on Election Results from each assembly constituency in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Mizoram, Chhattisgarh, Telangana, like us on Facebook or follow us on Twitter for updates.

  • Telangana
     1) Exit polls were almost unanimous in predicting that TRS president and Chief Minister K Chandrashekar Rao’s gamble of advancing the Assembly polls will pay off and he will retain power.
     2) Republic TV and Times Now forecast that his party will 50-65 and 66 seats in the 119-member Assembly.
     3) TV9 Telugu and India Today forecast a tally between 75-85 and 75-91 for the ruling party, respectively.
     4) Some exit polls saw a tighter battle between the TRS and the Congress-TDP combine.
     O) Rajasthan
     1) If exit polls differed in their projections for Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, most of them predicted the Congress’ return to power in Rajasthan.
     2) India Today-Axis said the opposition party may win 119-141 out of 199 seats for which elections were held. The BJP, it added, may win 55-72 seats.
     3) Times Now-CNX forecast 105 seats for the Congress and 85 for the BJP.
     4) Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat forecast a tighter race between the two parties. It gave the Congress and the BJP 81-101 and 83-103 seats, respectively.
     O) Chhattisgarh
    1) In the 90-member Chhattisgarh Assembly, exit polls broadcast by Republic-C Voter predicted 35-43 seats for the BJP and 40-50 for the Congress, while the News Nation forecast a close race with 38-42 seats for the BJP and 40-44 for the Congress.
     2) Times Now-CNX gave a simple majority to the BJP in Chhattisgarh, saying it may win 46 seats while the opposition Congress may bag 35 seats.
     3) ABP News said the BJP may get up to 52 seats against 35 of the Congress.
     4) India Today-Axis predicted the Congress is set to end Chief Minister Raman Singh’s 15-year old reign by winning anywhere between 55-65 seats. The BJP, it said, may be reduced to 21-31 seats.
     o ) Madhya Pradesh
     1) While Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat gave 108-128 seats to the BJP and 95-115 to the Congress in the 230-member Madhya Pradesh, India Today-Axis said the saffron party could win 102-120 seats as against 104-122 for the Congress.
     2) The Times Now-CNX exit poll predicted a majority for the BJP in MP with 126 seats and gave the Congress a tally of 89 seats.
     3) ABP News exit poll said the Congress is likely to get a majority by bagging 126 seats. The BJP, it added, would get 94 seats.
    (With Agency Inputs ).




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